On the statistical mechanics of distributed seismicity
نویسندگان
چکیده
S U M M A R Y I n order to understand the underlying physics of distributed seismicity better we have considered a 2-D array of slider blocks connected by springs and interacting via static friction with a surface. There is no driving plate in this model. The time evolution of the system is found from numerical simulations in a cellular automata formulation. Energy is conserved and is the single control parameter. The distribution of energies in the springs is found to obey a modified Maxwell-Boltzmann statistics. It is found that the number-size statistics of clusters of unstable sliding blocks is identical to those in percolation clusters in the site-to-site percolation model. There is a well-defined critical point when unstable blocks become connected across the array. It has been previously suggested that distributed seismicity in a seismic zone is the percolation backbone of a 3-D percolation cluster. The fact that low-level seismicity satisfies the GutenbergRichter frequency-magnitude relation and is nearly constant in time also suggests that this background seismicity is similar to thermally induced noise.
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Implementing and exploring innovative approaches to seismicity analysis and earthquake statistics has been the focus of my research for the past five years. The comprehensive seismicity analysis software that I have developed, ZMAP, is distributed by IASPEI and now in use in more than 30 research institutes worldwide. This resulted in multiple opportunities for collaborative research projects. ...
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